{"id":2316,"date":"2009-06-09T16:40:38","date_gmt":"2009-06-09T20:40:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/?p=2316"},"modified":"2009-11-12T08:37:20","modified_gmt":"2009-11-12T13:37:20","slug":"wsj-obamas-jobs-numbers-are-pure-fiction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/2009\/06\/09\/wsj-obamas-jobs-numbers-are-pure-fiction\/","title":{"rendered":"WSJ: Obama&#8217;s Jobs Numbers Are Pure Fiction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>William McGurn has must read Op Ed in today Wall Street Journal detailing the fiction of the Obama Administration&#8217;s jobs &#8220;saved or created&#8221; statistics:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Tony Fratto is envious.<\/p>\n<p>Mr. Fratto was a colleague of mine in the Bush administration, and as a senior member of the White House communications shop, he knows just how difficult it can be to deal with a press corps skeptical about presidential economic claims. It now appears, however, that Mr. Fratto&#8217;s problem was that he simply lacked the magic words &#8212; jobs &#8220;saved or created.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Saved or created&#8221; has become the signature phrase for Barack Obama as he describes what his stimulus is doing for American jobs. His latest invocation came yesterday, when the president declared that the stimulus had already saved or created at least 150,000 American jobs &#8212; and announced he was ramping up some of the stimulus spending so he could &#8220;save or create&#8221; an additional 600,000 jobs this summer. These numbers come in the context of an earlier Obama promise that his recovery plan will &#8220;save or create three to four million jobs over the next two years.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Mr. Fratto sees a double standard at play. &#8220;We would never have used a formula like &#8216;save or create,'&#8221; he tells me. &#8220;To begin with, the number is pure fiction &#8212; the administration has no way to measure how many jobs are actually being &#8216;saved.&#8217; And if we had tried to use something this flimsy, the press would never have let us get away with it.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Of course, the inability to measure Mr. Obama&#8217;s jobs formula is part of its attraction. Never mind that no one &#8212; not the Labor Department, not the Treasury, not the Bureau of Labor Statistics &#8212; actually measures &#8220;jobs saved.&#8221; As the New York Times delicately reports, Mr. Obama&#8217;s jobs claims are &#8220;based on macroeconomic estimates, not an actual counting of jobs.&#8221; Nice work if you can get away with it.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>As Mr. McGurn points out there&#8217;s no way to verify Obama&#8217;s &#8220;saved or created&#8221; numbers, they&#8217;re just a guess. The reality is since Congress approved the stimulus a few months ago, our economy has lost nearly 1.6 million jobs and unemployment has climbed to 9.4%&#8230; and I suspect it&#8217;s going to go higher before we hit bottom.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Related<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.reuters.com\/james-pethokoukis\/2009\/06\/08\/sf-fed-near-11-percent-unemployment-and-a-jobless-recovery\/\" target=\"_blank\">SF Fed: Near 11 percent unemployment and a jobless recovery<\/a> &#8211; James Pethokoukis<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>William McGurn has must read Op Ed in today Wall Street Journal detailing the fiction of the Obama Administration&#8217;s jobs &#8220;saved or created&#8221; statistics: Tony Fratto is envious. Mr. Fratto was a colleague of mine in the Bush administration, and as a senior member of the White House communications shop, he knows just how difficult [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[26,7],"tags":[714,462,168],"class_list":["post-2316","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-economy","category-politics","tag-jobs","tag-obama-administration","tag-stimulus","entry"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pfpI7-Bm","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":2185,"url":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/2009\/05\/14\/ap-stimulus-not-stimulating\/","url_meta":{"origin":2316,"position":0},"title":"AP: Stimulus not Stimulating","author":"Jeff","date":"May 14, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"The\u00a0 AP's Matt Apuzzo yesterday examined Vice President Joe Biden's first quarterly report of the Stimulus plan and found the picture to a bit more cloudy than the White House claims: Capturing the full effect of the stimulus at this early stage is difficult, but the administration has set high\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1419,"url":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/2009\/01\/29\/smoot-hawley-rides-again\/","url_meta":{"origin":2316,"position":1},"title":"Smoot-Hawley Rides Again???","author":"Jeff","date":"January 29, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"The Washington Post has a detailed report on protectionist language in the Democrat's pork laden stimulus bill that could trigger a trade war: The stimulus bill passed by the House last night contains a controversial provision that would mostly bar foreign steel and iron from the infrastructure projects laid out\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2481,"url":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/2009\/07\/07\/will-obama-push-for-a-weaker-dollar\/","url_meta":{"origin":2316,"position":2},"title":"Will Obama Push for a Weaker Dollar?","author":"Jeff","date":"July 7, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"Ugh, this is not good... former Clinton trade official and current member of the Obama administration's economic advisory panel Laura Tyson said in Singapore today that the $787-billion plan Congress passed in February \"will have a positive effect, but the real economy is a sicker patient.\" She went on to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4503,"url":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/2012\/07\/06\/awful-unemployment-remains-at-8-2-in-june-just-80000-jobs-added\/","url_meta":{"origin":2316,"position":3},"title":"Awful: Unemployment Remains At 8.2% in June; Just 80,000 Jobs Added","author":"Jeff","date":"July 6, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"From MarketWatch: The U.S. created just 80,000 jobs in June as hiring slowed dramatically in the second quarter, confirming that the economy has hit another rough patch. The unemployment rate was unchanged at 8.2%, the Labor Department said Friday. The disappointing employment report adds to fresh worries about the U.S.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2266,"url":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/2009\/05\/29\/poll-question-is-the-us-economy-headed-for-a-recovery-or-a-dead-cat-bounce\/","url_meta":{"origin":2316,"position":4},"title":"Poll Question: Is the U.S. Economy Headed for a Recovery or a &#8216;Dead Cat Bounce&#8217;?","author":"Jeff","date":"May 29, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"Ok folks, here's the 64 trillion dollar question for you... [poll id=\"14\"] I'm leaning toward dead cat bounce for various reasons... In short all the money the Federal Reserve and the Federal Government are pumping into the economy will have a positive effect and we will see GDP rebound in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2895,"url":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/2009\/10\/29\/third-quarter-gdp-rises-to-3-5-but\/","url_meta":{"origin":2316,"position":5},"title":"Third Quarter GDP Rises to 3.5%&#8230; But&#8230;","author":"Jeff","date":"October 29, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"From Reuters: The U.S. economy grew in the third quarter for the first time in more than a year as government stimulus helped lift consumer spending and home building, fueling an unexpectedly strong advance. Signaling the end of the worst recession in 70 years, the Commerce Department on Thursday said\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/category\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2316","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2316"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2316\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2316"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2316"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.jasetaro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2316"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}